Nicole Takes Aim At Florida

Subtropical Storm Nicole formed Monday northeast of the Bahamas, according to the National Hurricane Center, with an unusual track taking aim at the east coast of Florida.

Nicole is expected to make the transition to a tropical system in the next 36 hours and could strengthen into a hurricane shortly after.

Hurricane and storm surge watches are up along the east Florida coast.

"After Nicole moves inland, weakening is anticipated, and the region that Nicole is forecast to emerge off in the northern Gulf of Mexico has cooler SSTs that likely would not support robust reintensification," said the NHC.

After moving into the Gulf, Nicole is expected to make a hard turn back to the northeast, keeping the system away from Louisiana.

Here are the Monday 10am key messages from the National Hurricane Center on Nicole:

Forecasters are also watching an area in the central subtropical Atlantic.

According to the NHC:

A well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce ale-force winds, but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains displaced to the east of the low's center due to strong upper-level winds. These conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for development today but may briefly become more favorable on Tuesday, and a short-lived tropical storm could still form as the system begins to move northward and then northeastward at about 10 mph. The low is then forecast to merge with a cold front by the middle part of this week.

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season ends on November 30.

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